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Determining fire dates and locating ignition points with satellite data

机译:用卫星数据确定起火日期并确定点火点

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摘要

Each wildfire has its own \u22history\u22, burns under specific conditions and leads to unique environmental impacts. Information on where and when it has started and its duration is important to improve understanding on the dynamics of individual wildfires. This information is typically included in fire databases that are known to have: (i) multiple error sources; (ii) limited spatial coverage and/or time span, and; (iii) often unknown accuracy and uncertainty. Satellite data have a large potential to reduce such limitations. We used active fire data from the MODerate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) to estimate fire start/end dates and ignition location(s) for large wildfires that occurred in Alaska, Portugal, Greece, California and southeastern Australia. We assessed the agreement between satellite-derived estimates and data from fire databases, and determined the associated uncertainty. Fire dates and ignition location(s) were estimated for circa 76% of the total burnt area extent for the five study regions. The ability to estimate fire dates and ignitions from satellite data increased with fire size. The agreement between reported and estimated fire dates was very good for start dates (Model efficiency index, MEF = 0.91) and reasonable for end dates (MEF = 0.73). The spatio-temporal agreement between reported and satellite-derived wildfire ignitions showed temporal lags and distances within 12 h and 2 km, respectively. Uncertainties associated with ignition estimates were generally larger than the disagreements with data reported in fire databases. Our results show how satellite data can contribute to improve information regarding dates and ignitions of large wildfires. This contribution can be particularly relevant in regions with scarce fire information, while in well-documented areas it can be used to complement, potentially detect, and correct inconsistencies in existing fire databases. Using data from other existing and/or upcoming satellites should significantly contribute to reduce errors and uncertainties in satellite-derived fire dates and ignitions, as well as improve coverage of small fires.
机译:每场野火都有自己的历史,在特定条件下燃烧,并导致独特的环境影响。关于何时何地开始及其持续时间的信息对于增进对单个野火动态的理解很重要。此信息通常包含在已知具有以下内容的火灾数据库中:(i)多个错误源; (ii)有限的空间覆盖范围和/或时间跨度,以及; (iii)通常未知的准确性和不确定性。卫星数据具有减少此类限制的巨大潜力。我们使用来自MODerate分辨率成像光谱仪(MODIS)的活跃火灾数据来估计在阿拉斯加,葡萄牙,希腊,加利福尼亚和澳大利亚东南部发生的大规模野火的起火日期/结束日期和着火位置。我们评估了卫星得出的估算值与火数据库的数据之间的一致性,并确定了相关的不确定性。估计五个研究区域的起火日期和着火位置约为总燃烧面积范围的76%。根据卫星数据估算起火日期和点火的能力随火势大小而增加。对于开始日期(模型效率指数,MEF = 0.91),报告和估计的起火日期之间的一致性非常好,而对于结束日期(MEF = 0.73)则是合理的。报道的和卫星衍生的野火点火之间的时空一致性表明时间滞后和距离分别在12 h和2 km之内。通常,与点火估计值相关的不确定性要大于对火灾数据库中报告的数据的分歧。我们的结果表明,卫星数据如何有助于改善有关大火的日期和点火的信息。在火灾信息稀缺的地区,这种贡献尤其重要,而在有据可查的地区,它可以用来补充,潜在地检测和纠正现有火灾数据库中的不一致之处。使用来自其他现有和/或即将来临的卫星的数据,应大大有助于减少卫星衍生的火警日期和点火的误差和不确定性,以及改善小火的覆盖范围。

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